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CVX
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
Mixed arguments
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🔴 Valuation
▼ P/E 17.3 vs peer median 15.2 — more expensive than peers
▼ P/S 2.0 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 1.3 to 1.9)
▲ P/S 2.0 vs peer median 2.5 — cheaper than peers
▼ EV/EBITDA 8.5 — expensive for this stock (over 4 y: from 5.4 to 7.7)
▼ EV/EBITDA 8.5 vs peer median 6.5 — more expensive than peers
▼ FCF yield 3.6% — expensive for this stock (over 4 y: from 5.7% to 10.8%)
▲ Forward P/E 14.8 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟡 Quality
▼ Debt up 75% in 3 y
▼ Net margin fell: 15.0% → 6.7%
▲ Debt / equity 0.22 — moderate debt
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟢 Growth
▲ Revenue grows 14.3% per year (5 y)
▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +14.3% in 90 days
🟢 Trend
▲ Price above SMA200 — long-term uptrend
▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
▲ Over a year +53% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Volatility 24% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
🟡 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 24 analysts — buy
▼ Insiders selling over 6 mo
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLE) above SMA200 — in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLE) over 3 mo is stronger than the market by 17%