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| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 220,904 | 273,005 | 171,636 | 204,928 | 253,706 | 241,909 | 228,848 | 211,970 | 138,477 | 114,472 | 141,722 | 166,339 | 146,516 | 94,692 | 162,465 | 235,717 | 196,913 | 193,414 | 184,432 |
| Net income | 18,688 | 23,931 | 10,483 | 19,024 | 26,895 | 26,179 | 21,423 | 19,241 | 4,587 | -497 | 9,195 | 14,824 | 2,924 | -5,543 | 15,625 | 35,465 | 21,369 | 17,661 | 12,299 |
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 31.4% | 30.7% | 29.4% | 30.4% |
| Operating margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.9% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% |
| Net margin | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 3.3% | -0.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 2.0% | -5.9% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| EPS | 8.77 | 11.67 | 5.24 | 9.48 | 13.44 | 13.32 | 11.09 | 10.14 | 2.45 | -0.27 | 4.85 | 7.74 | 1.54 | -2.96 | 8.14 | 18.28 | 11.36 | 9.72 | 6.63 |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37,628 | 19,780 | 15,044 | 16,592 |
| Net debt | — | -787 | 1,563 | -2,837 | -5,823 | -8,826 | 4,089 | 14,965 | 28,933 | 45,298 | 40,576 | 25,114 | — | 24,228 | 25,238 | 5,438 | 12,613 | 17,756 | 34,461 |
| P/E | 10.6 | 6.3 | 14.7 | 9.6 | 7.9 | 8.1 | 11.3 | 11.1 | 36.7 | — | 25.8 | 14.1 | 78.3 | — | 14.4 | 9.8 | 13.1 | 14.9 | 23 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 6.5% | rate 7.5% | rate 8.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 9.3% | 333.49 | 264.74 | 218.85 |
| Base · growth 14.3% | 445.7 | 351.69 | 289.05 |
| Bull · growth 19.3% | 591.15 | 464.1 | 379.53 |
FCF to shareholders 17,139 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 1,951 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.