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VLO
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
More arguments for
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🟢 Valuation
▲ P/E 9.1 — cheap for this stock (over 9 y: from 4.4 to 33.1)
▲ P/E 9.1 vs peer median 12.2 — cheaper than peers
▼ P/S 0.8 — expensive for this stock (over 4 y: from 0.3 to 0.4)
▼ P/S 0.8 vs peer median 0.6 — more expensive than peers
▲ EV/EBITDA 5.6 — cheap for this stock (over 9 y: from 3.2 to 18.2)
▲ EV/EBITDA 5.6 vs peer median 8.4 — cheaper than peers
▼ FCF yield 4.5% — expensive for this stock (over 6 y: from 10.0% to 21.7%)
▲ FCF yield 4.5% vs peer median 7.9% — cheaper than peers
▲ Forward P/E 7.5 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟢 Quality
▲ Share count down 22% in 3 y — buybacks grow your stake
▲ ROE 47% — high return on equity
▼ Net margin fell: 6.5% → 1.9%
▲ Debt / equity 0.49 — moderate debt
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟡 Growth
▼ Revenue falls -11.4% per year (3 y)
▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +48.3% in 90 days
🟢 Trend
▲ Over 6 mo stronger than its sector (XLE) by 41%
▲ Price above SMA200 — long-term uptrend
▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
▲ Over a year +135% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Volatility 38% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
🟡 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 19 analysts — buy
▼ Insiders selling over 6 mo
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLE) above SMA200 — in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLE) over 3 mo is stronger than the market by 17%