RYCEY · Verdict

A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.

• ▼ P/S 4.4 vs peer median 2.8 — more expensive than peers
• ▲ FCF yield 3.5% vs peer median 3.1% — cheaper than peers
• ▼ Cyclical company at peak earnings: P/E 33.7 is understated; on average earnings over 4 y it is —
• ▲ Forward P/E 26.0 is below the current one — earnings growth expected

• ▲ Piotroski 7/9 — strong financial health
• ▲ ROE 114% — high return on equity
• ▲ Net margin rose: -9.4% → 27.5%
• ▲ Free cash flow positive every year

• ▲ Revenue grows 16.2% per year (3 y)
• ▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +21.5% in 90 days

• ▲ Over 6 mo stronger than its sector (XLI) by 6%
• ▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
• ▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up

• ▲ Risk/reward 1:2.3 — the target is farther than the stop
• ▼ Volatility 40% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
• ▼ Max drawdown in the period -62% — deep

• ▲ Consensus of 3 analysts — buy
• ▲ Mean analyst target +39% from the current price

• ▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
• ▼ Sector (XLI) below SMA200 — in a downtrend
• ▼ Sector (XLI) over 3 mo is weaker than the market by 8%