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| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 13,520 | 16,486 | 18,909 | 21,207 |
| Net income | -1,269 | 2,412 | 2,521 | 5,841 |
| Gross margin | 20.4% | 22.0% | 22.3% | 29.1% |
| Operating margin | 5.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 20.8% |
| Net margin | -9.4% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 27.5% |
| EPS | -0.15 | 0.29 | 0.3 | 0.69 |
| Free cash flow | 928 | 1,772 | 2,896 | 3,580 |
| Net debt | 3,560 | 2,244 | -227 | -1,776 |
| P/E | — | — | — | — |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 10.3% | rate 11.3% | rate 12.3% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 11.2% | 9.49 | 8.32 | 7.39 |
| Base · growth 16.2% | 12.39 | 10.81 | 9.56 |
| Bull · growth 21.2% | 16.1 | 13.98 | 12.31 |
FCF to shareholders 3,684 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 8,200 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.