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| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,699 | 2,969 | 4,462 | 5,920 | 5,508 | 5,767 | 8,195 |
| Net income | 1,584 | -277 | -421 | -164 | -933 | -885 | 2,670 |
| Gross margin | 50.3% | 50.1% | 46.3% | 50.5% | 41.6% | 41.3% | 51.0% |
| Operating margin | -9.0% | -8.7% | -7.8% | 6.1% | -7.9% | -6.4% | 16.3% |
| Net margin | 58.7% | -9.3% | -9.4% | -2.8% | -16.9% | -15.3% | 32.6% |
| EPS | 2.34 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.19 | -1.08 | -1.02 | 3.07 |
| Free cash flow | 278 | 711 | 650 | 1,072 | 1,020 | 1,390 | 1,392 |
| Net debt | — | 644 | 3,998 | 3,827 | 3,451 | 3,395 | 2,152 |
| P/E | 10.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 25.7 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
⚠️ CAPM gave a rate outside 6–15% — clamped; check beta and set the rate yourself.
| rate 14.0% | rate 15.0% | rate 16.0% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 15.0% | 23.49 | 21.34 | 19.52 |
| Base · growth 20.0% | 30.07 | 27.2 | 24.78 |
| Bull · growth 25.0% | 38.37 | 34.58 | 31.39 |
FCF to shareholders 1,267 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 899 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.