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| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 31,060 | 34,423 | 35,756 | 37,937 | 55,842 | 62,570 | 64,657 | 68,775 | 74,510 | 80,736 | 85,029 | 94,507 | 108,942 | 103,564 | 116,385 | 121,427 | 121,572 | 123,731 | 123,707 |
| Net income | 2,587 | 2,547 | 3,638 | 3,635 | 4,160 | 6,203 | 6,816 | 8,380 | 8,163 | 8,678 | 22,735 | 11,731 | 13,057 | 10,534 | 14,159 | 5,370 | 15,388 | 16,192 | 19,998 |
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 68.5% | 69.8% | 70.1% | 71.7% |
| Operating margin | 18.0% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 21.7% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 21.2% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 16.7% |
| Net margin | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 26.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 16.2% |
| EPS | 0.39 | 0.4 | 0.59 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.07 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.52 | 1.67 | 4.45 | 2.37 | 2.65 | 2.14 | 2.85 | 1.13 | 3.48 | 3.88 | 5.05 |
| Free cash flow | 2,031 | 4,481 | 5,164 | 6,218 | 9,038 | 9,140 | 7,564 | 9,525 | 10,986 | 10,556 | 11,711 | 14,523 | 15,744 | 15,558 | 19,972 | 12,646 | 12,961 | 12,543 | 19,235 |
| Net debt | — | 1,083 | 485 | -4,184 | -253 | -8,575 | 2,912 | 1,152 | 2,307 | 4,960 | 1,706 | 584 | -1,048 | -8,594 | -6,579 | 95,234 | 90,875 | 91,771 | 89,456 |
| P/E | 22 | 19.6 | 13.4 | 17 | 15.8 | 16.4 | 20.3 | 18.1 | 17.4 | 19.4 | 8.4 | 13.5 | 15.9 | 23 | 16.6 | 28.9 | 11.8 | 9.1 | 5.5 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 7.3% | rate 8.3% | rate 9.3% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -1.4% | 71.46 | 59.47 | 51 |
| Base · growth 3.6% | 96.36 | 79.53 | 67.68 |
| Bull · growth 8.6% | 129.17 | 105.86 | 89.48 |
FCF to shareholders 14,913 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 3,551 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.