StockAnalyzer

ATEYY · Financials

Annual reports: Yahoo, amounts in millions of JPY. P/E — year-end price / EPS; — if the price history does not reach that year.
2023202420252026
Revenue560,191486,507779,7071,128,610
Net income130,40062,290161,177375,353
Gross margin57.0%50.6%57.1%64.3%
Operating margin29.9%16.8%29.3%44.2%
Net margin23.3%12.8%20.7%33.3%
EPS173.6884.16218.67513.3
Free cash flow46,63612,125266,540299,152
Net debt-34,693-12,259-169,041-319,774
P/E————

Valuation by free cash flow (DCF)

A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.

Value per share
52.3 USD
Upside to the estimate
-75.8%
No margin of safety: the price is above the DCF value.
Growth priced in
+49.2%
Reverse DCF: FCF growth for 5 years that makes today’s price fair. Compare with what you believe.
rate 9.9%rate 10.9%rate 11.9%
Bear · growth 15.0%46.4440.3135.51
Base · growth 20.0%60.5452.345.86
Bull · growth 25.0%78.4967.5459

FCF to shareholders 1,221 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 722 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.