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ANET
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
Mixed arguments
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🔴 Valuation
▼ P/E 53.3 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 19.1 to 54.7)
▼ P/E 53.3 vs peer median 29.2 — more expensive than peers
▼ P/S 20.2 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 6.3 to 20.2)
▼ P/S 20.2 vs peer median 10.1 — more expensive than peers
▼ EV/EBITDA 43.0 vs peer median 21.6 — more expensive than peers
▼ FCF yield 2.0% — expensive for this stock (over 8 y: from 1.2% to 5.8%)
▼ Cyclical company at peak earnings: P/E 53.3 is understated; on average earnings over 10 y it is 164.6
▲ Forward P/E 32.3 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟢 Quality
▲ ROE 31% — high return on equity
▲ Net margin rose: 30.9% → 39.0%
▲ Debt / equity 0.01 — moderate debt
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟢 Growth
▲ Revenue grows 31.2% per year (5 y)
▲ Earnings per share grows 40.6% per year (5 y)
▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +13.2% in 90 days
🟡 Trend
▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLK) by 15%
▲ Price above SMA200 — long-term uptrend
▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Earnings in 1 d — the price may move sharply (≈ ±10.2%)
▼ Risk/reward 1:1.0 — the target is closer than the stop
▼ Volatility 55% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
▼ Max drawdown in the period -50% — deep
▼ Beta 1.60 — moves more than the market
🟡 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 29 analysts — buy
▲ Mean analyst target +44% from the current price
▼ Insiders selling over 6 mo
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLK) above SMA200 — in an uptrend