AMZN · Verdict

A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.

• ▲ P/E 19.4 — cheap for this stock (over 9 y: from 32.2 to 190.2)
• ▲ P/E 19.4 vs peer median 35.4 — cheaper than peers
• ▲ P/S 3.3 vs peer median 4.3 — cheaper than peers
• ▲ EV/EBITDA 15.0 — cheap for this stock (over 10 y: from 15.3 to 37.3)
• ▲ EV/EBITDA 15.0 vs peer median 23.1 — cheaper than peers
• ▼ FCF yield 0.3% — expensive for this stock (over 5 y: from -2.0% to 2.9%)
• ▼ FCF yield 0.3% vs peer median 1.8% — more expensive than peers
• ▼ Cyclical company at peak earnings: P/E 19.4 is understated; on average earnings over 10 y it is 102.8

• ▼ Share count up 6% in 3 y — your stake is being diluted
• ▲ ROE 27% — high return on equity
• ▲ Net margin rose: -0.5% → 10.8%
• ▲ Debt / equity 0.37 — moderate debt

• ▲ Revenue grows 13.2% per year (5 y)
• ▲ Earnings per share grows 28.0% per year (5 y)
• ▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +4.1% in 90 days

• ▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLY) by 7%
• ▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
• ▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up

• ▼ Volatility 35% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
• ▼ Max drawdown in the period -56% — deep

• ▲ Consensus of 58 analysts — buy
• ▲ Mean analyst target +36% from the current price
• ▲ Insiders buying over 6 mo

• ▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
• ▼ Sector (XLY) below SMA200 — in a downtrend