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| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 14,835 | 19,166 | 24,509 | 34,204 | 48,077 | 61,093 | 74,452 | 88,988 | 107,006 | 135,987 | 177,866 | 232,887 | 280,522 | 386,064 | 469,822 | 513,983 | 574,785 | 637,959 | 716,924 |
| Net income | 476 | 645 | 902 | 1,152 | 631 | -39 | 274 | -241 | 596 | 2,371 | 3,033 | 10,073 | 11,588 | 21,331 | 33,364 | -2,722 | 30,425 | 59,248 | 77,670 |
| Gross margin | 22.6% | 22.3% | 22.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43.8% | 47.0% | 48.9% | 50.3% |
| Operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% |
| Net margin | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | -0.1% | 0.4% | -0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | -0.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% |
| EPS | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.1 | 0.13 | 0.07 | -0 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 0.31 | 1.01 | 1.15 | 2.09 | 3.24 | -0.27 | 2.9 | 5.53 | 7.17 |
| Free cash flow | 1,181 | 1,364 | 2,920 | 2,516 | 2,092 | 395 | 2,031 | 1,949 | 7,450 | 10,466 | — | — | — | — | — | -16,893 | 32,217 | 32,878 | 7,695 |
| Net debt | — | -2,360 | -3,335 | -3,593 | -4,885 | -4,421 | -8,503 | -7,631 | -11,343 | -17,231 | 4,321 | -6,884 | -11,373 | -9,151 | 14,015 | 70,092 | 48,831 | 29,698 | 29,958 |
| P/E | 82.7 | 34.4 | 65.9 | 71.1 | 126.4 | — | 675.9 | — | 540.7 | 153 | 190.2 | 74.6 | 80.3 | 77.9 | 51.5 | — | 52.4 | 39.7 | 32.2 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 11.2% | rate 12.2% | rate 13.2% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 8.2% | 35.78 | 31.87 | 28.71 |
| Base · growth 13.2% | 46.6 | 41.29 | 37 |
| Bull · growth 18.2% | 60.47 | 53.33 | 47.57 |
FCF to shareholders 24,263 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 10,813 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.