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| 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8,074 | 7,453 | 9,850 | 9,526 | 12,478 | 15,351 | 15,130 | 14,572 | 12,994 | 19,093 | 20,647 | 16,569 | 16,736 | 16,922 | 18,793 | 6,255 | 6,317 | 9,520 | 12,919 |
| Net income | 867 | 470 | 1,382 | 726 | 1,612 | 980 | 1,617 | 1,465 | 242 | 397 | 675 | -754 | -250 | 821 | 1,546 | -1,684 | -798 | 1,861 | 9,298 |
| Gross margin | 21.5% | 17.9% | 24.4% | 18.8% | 29.2% | 28.4% | 28.8% | 29.0% | 26.4% | 31.8% | 37.3% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 26.7% | 31.3% | 22.2% | 28.1% | 38.8% | 48.9% |
| Operating margin | 12.5% | 7.0% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 7.2% | 12.7% | -6.4% | 1.5% | 22.4% | 35.6% |
| Net margin | 10.7% | 6.3% | 14.0% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | -4.6% | -1.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | -26.9% | -12.6% | 19.5% | 72.0% |
| EPS | 2.9 | 1.57 | 4.48 | 2.34 | 4.97 | 3.01 | 5.05 | 4.67 | 0.76 | 1.01 | 1.66 | -1.95 | -0.63 | 2.01 | 3.7 | -4.11 | -1.3 | 5.12 | 26.92 |
| Free cash flow | 784 | 786 | 1,205 | 877 | 2,350 | 2,167 | 2,188 | 1,630 | 1,399 | 2,859 | 3,370 | 671 | 177 | 752 | 758 | -1,229 | -781 | 1,279 | 3,511 |
| Net debt | — | -1,312 | -2,334 | -3,196 | -1,023 | -2,354 | -2,366 | -2,468 | 5,848 | 6,797 | 6,167 | 7,067 | 6,527 | 5,355 | 4,695 | 5,047 | 5,883 | 2,597 | -527 |
| P/E | 9.1 | 12.6 | 5.1 | 11.9 | 4.6 | 15.6 | 13.9 | 13.1 | 46.5 | 66.1 | 35.2 | — | — | 26.4 | 8.9 | — | — | 12.5 | 23.7 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
⚠️ CAPM gave a rate outside 6–15% — clamped; check beta and set the rate yourself.
| rate 14.0% | rate 15.0% | rate 16.0% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -10.0% | 17.05 | 15.93 | 14.97 |
| Base · growth -5.0% | 21.85 | 20.28 | 18.94 |
| Bull · growth 0.0% | 28.06 | 25.89 | 24.04 |
FCF to shareholders 1,336 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 374 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.