UBER · Verdict

A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.

• ▲ P/E 14.3 vs peer median 23.5 — cheaper than peers
• ▲ P/S 2.4 — cheap for this stock (over 7 y: from 1.5 to 8.0)
• ▲ P/S 2.4 vs peer median 5.2 — cheaper than peers
• ▲ FCF yield 7.3% — cheap for this stock (over 7 y: from -13.2% to 5.6%)
• ▼ Cyclical company at peak earnings: P/E 14.3 is understated; on average earnings over 9 y it is —

• ▼ Share count up 7% in 3 y — your stake is being diluted
• ▲ ROE 37% — high return on equity
• ▲ Net margin rose: -28.7% → 19.3%
• ▲ Debt / equity 0.45 — moderate debt
• ▼ Free cash flow often negative

• ▲ Revenue grows 36.1% per year (5 y)
• ▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +5.3% in 90 days

• ▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLK) by 25%
• ▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
• ▼ SMA50 below SMA200 — trend down
• ▼ Over a year -32% vs S&P 500 +11% — weaker than the market

• ▼ Earnings in 2 d — the price may move sharply (≈ ±8.1%)
• ▼ Risk/reward 1:0.9 — the target is closer than the stop
• ▼ Volatility 35% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
• ▼ Max drawdown in the period -57% — deep

• ▲ Consensus of 46 analysts — buy
• ▲ Mean analyst target +55% from the current price
• ▲ Insiders buying over 6 mo

• ▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
• ▲ Sector (XLK) above SMA200 — in an uptrend