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A probabilistic estimate from history and market opinion, not a guarantee and not investment advice.
| Pessimistic | Base | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock history (any 12 months) | 41.9 (-35.8%) | 78.49 (+20.3%) | 127.51 (+95.4%) |
| Volatility (8 of 10 cases) | 41.58 (-36.3%) | 65.25 (+0.0%) | 102.4 (+56.9%) |
| Analysts’ targets | 70 (+7.3%) | 100.86 (+54.6%) | 150 (+129.9%) |
History since 2019; now 65.25. The wider the range, the less predictable the stock.
Today’s state: below SMA200 · SMA50 < SMA200 · RSI neutral
| Horizon | Rose after this state | Rose at any time | Avg change | Cases | 95% | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 48.5% | 51.2% | -0.2% | 33 | 33%–65% | as usual |
| 3 months | 46.2% | 57.7% | -1.0% | 13 | 23%–71% | weak signal (few cases) |
| 1 year | 75.0% | 66.7% | 29.1% | 4 | 30%–95% | weak signal (few cases) |