StockAnalyzer

UBER · Financials

Annual reports: Yahoo + SEC 10-K, amounts in millions of USD. P/E — year-end price / EPS; — if the price history does not reach that year.
201720182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue7,93210,43313,00011,13917,45531,87737,28143,97852,017
Net income-4,033997-8,506-6,768-496-9,1411,8879,85610,053
Gross margin—————38.3%39.8%39.4%39.8%
Operating margin-51.4%-29.1%-66.1%-43.7%-22.0%-5.7%3.0%6.4%10.7%
Net margin-50.8%9.6%-65.4%-60.8%-2.8%-28.7%5.1%22.4%19.3%
EPS-9.460-6.81-3.86-0.29-4.650.874.564.73
Free cash flow-2,239-2,099-4,909-3,361-7433903,3626,8959,763
Net debt—490-5,1391,9405,0086,8285,8174,1494,447
P/E——————70.813.217.3

Valuation by free cash flow (DCF)

A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.

Value per share
96.14 USD
Upside to the estimate
+47.3%
Margin of safety 32.1%: investors often want 20–30% for forecast errors.
Growth priced in
+12.5%
Reverse DCF: FCF growth for 5 years that makes today’s price fair. Compare with what you believe.
rate 10.3%rate 11.3%rate 12.3%
Bear · growth 15.0%85.0174.2265.68
Base · growth 20.0%110.6396.1484.7
Bull · growth 25.0%143.23123.97108.8

FCF to shareholders 6,673 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 2,043 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.