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| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 9,805 | 11,395 | 10,971 | 14,939 | 14,351 | 13,724 | 13,739 | 11,160 | 10,771 | 11,184 | 10,390 | 10,509 | 10,681 | 11,661 | 7,384 | 6,551 | 9,097 | 12,195 |
| Net income | -3,125 | 1,609 | 511 | 2,862 | 1,838 | 1,570 | 1,742 | 248 | 772 | 1,182 | 2,012 | 1,004 | 1,314 | 1,649 | -529 | 335 | 1,469 | 3,184 |
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.3% | 23.4% | 35.2% | 45.6% |
| Operating margin | -27.2% | 15.3% | 7.3% | 20.8% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 0.8% | 6.4% | 21.1% | 34.7% |
| Net margin | -31.9% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | -7.2% | 5.1% | 16.1% | 26.1% |
| EPS | -6.4 | 3.14 | 1.09 | 6.49 | 4.81 | 4.52 | 5.26 | 0.82 | 2.58 | 4.05 | 7.06 | 3.79 | 5.36 | 7.36 | -2.56 | 1.58 | 6.77 | 13.9 |
| Free cash flow | 190 | 1,293 | 421 | 2,626 | 2,261 | 1,999 | 1,903 | 1,093 | 1,482 | 1,747 | 1,159 | 1,129 | 1,128 | 1,276 | 626 | 664 | 818 | 3,105 |
| Net debt | — | 239 | 835 | 1,156 | — | — | — | — | — | 2,467 | 2,033 | 2,453 | 3,930 | 5,031 | 4,665 | 4,316 | 4,421 | 2,154 |
| P/E | — | 4.2 | 15 | 3.8 | 9.3 | 12.6 | 9.2 | 29.3 | 15 | 13.9 | 6.7 | 12.5 | 16.2 | 9.4 | — | 65.4 | 21.3 | 69.4 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
⚠️ CAPM gave a rate outside 6–15% — clamped; check beta and set the rate yourself.
| rate 14.0% | rate 15.0% | rate 16.0% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -2.3% | 46.62 | 43.14 | 40.16 |
| Base · growth 2.7% | 59.93 | 55.12 | 51.03 |
| Bull · growth 7.7% | 77.03 | 70.47 | 64.9 |
FCF to shareholders 1,529 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 230 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.