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| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 3,429,519 | 3,416,492 | 3,557,478 | 3,697,351 |
| Net income | — | 269,799 | 353,654 | 408,504 | 496,912 |
| Gross margin | — | 58.2% | 57.5% | 58.6% | 59.2% |
| Operating margin | — | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.1% |
| Net margin | — | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% |
| EPS | — | 33.49 | 44.58 | 53.66 | 69.52 |
| Free cash flow | 375,225 | 361,437 | 465,433 | 545,106 | — |
| Net debt | — | -629,045 | -921,336 | -618,382 | -615,000 |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 8.9% | rate 9.9% | rate 10.9% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -2.5% | 5.06 | 4.41 | 3.91 |
| Base · growth 2.5% | 6.74 | 5.83 | 5.13 |
| Bull · growth 7.5% | 8.95 | 7.68 | 6.72 |
FCF to shareholders 2,901 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 6,944 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.