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| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8,871 | 11,142 | 10,387 | 10,982 | 14,957 | 19,121 | 24,866 | 26,487 | 25,281 | 23,554 | 22,258 | 22,611 | 24,273 | 23,531 | 33,566 | 44,200 | 35,820 | 38,962 | 44,284 |
| Net income | 3,303 | 3,160 | 1,592 | 3,247 | 4,260 | 6,109 | 6,853 | 7,967 | 5,271 | 5,705 | 2,445 | -4,964 | 4,386 | 5,198 | 9,043 | 12,936 | 7,232 | 10,142 | 5,541 |
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57.8% | 55.7% | 56.2% | 55.4% |
| Operating margin | 32.5% | 33.5% | 24.5% | 33.9% | 33.6% | 29.7% | 29.1% | 28.5% | 22.8% | 27.6% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 31.6% | 26.6% | 29.2% | 35.9% | 24.1% | 26.3% | 28.0% |
| Net margin | 37.2% | 28.4% | 15.3% | 29.6% | 28.5% | 31.9% | 27.6% | 30.1% | 20.8% | 24.2% | 11.0% | -22.0% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 26.9% | 29.3% | 20.2% | 26.0% | 12.5% |
| EPS | 1.95 | 1.9 | 0.95 | 1.96 | 2.52 | 3.51 | 3.91 | 4.65 | 3.22 | 3.81 | 1.64 | -3.39 | 3.59 | 4.52 | 7.87 | 11.37 | 6.42 | 8.97 | 5.01 |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6,834 | 9,849 | 11,161 | 12,820 |
| Net debt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -7,907 | 3,409 | 5,811 | -14,135 | 3,588 | 3,595 | 8,519 | 8,129 | 9,100 | 4,074 | 1,334 | 4,656 |
| P/E | 21.7 | 24.1 | 47.1 | 22.7 | 20 | 17.8 | 17.2 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 31.8 | — | 21.3 | 25.3 | 17 | 9.9 | 17.3 | 19 | 33.2 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 12.2% | rate 13.2% | rate 14.2% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 8.5% | 152.8 | 137.54 | 124.94 |
| Base · growth 13.5% | 197.96 | 177.29 | 160.24 |
| Bull · growth 18.5% | 255.66 | 227.92 | 205.1 |
FCF to shareholders 11,277 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 1,068 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.