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| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 146,561 | 195,931 | 179,290 | 171,596 | 161,212 | 98,975 | 84,279 | 102,354 | 111,461 | 107,293 | 64,129 | 111,476 | 169,990 | 147,399 | 143,153 | 132,376 |
| Net income | 735 | 4,775 | 4,124 | 3,726 | 4,762 | 4,227 | 1,555 | 5,106 | 5,595 | 3,076 | -3,975 | 1,317 | 11,024 | 7,015 | 2,117 | 4,403 |
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% |
| Operating margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% |
| Net margin | 0.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | -6.2% | 1.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% |
| EPS | 1.16 | 7.52 | 6.48 | 6.02 | 8.33 | 7.73 | 2.92 | 9.85 | 11.8 | 6.77 | -9.06 | 2.97 | 23.27 | 15.48 | 4.99 | 10.79 |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8,925 | 4,874 | 2,332 | 2,729 |
| Net debt | — | 30 | -3,461 | -5,376 | -4,337 | -3,030 | -1,711 | -3,078 | -2,952 | -1,067 | -1,527 | -1,658 | 11,057 | 16,036 | 18,324 | 18,600 |
| P/E | — | — | 8.2 | 12.8 | 8.6 | 10.6 | 29.6 | 10.3 | 7.3 | 16.5 | — | 24.4 | 4.5 | 8.6 | 22.8 | 12 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 7.4% | rate 8.4% | rate 9.4% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 10.6% | 282.71 | 232.45 | 196.81 |
| Base · growth 15.6% | 375.14 | 306.73 | 258.29 |
| Bull · growth 20.6% | 494.41 | 402.31 | 337.19 |
FCF to shareholders 3,312 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 390 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.