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| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 176,954 | 232,261 | 290,403 | 309,064 |
| Net income | 55,525 | 83,683 | 100,988 | 102,434 |
| Gross margin | 83.9% | 84.6% | 84.7% | 81.0% |
| Operating margin | 42.3% | 44.2% | 44.2% | 41.3% |
| Net margin | 31.4% | 36.0% | 34.8% | 33.1% |
| EPS | 12.22 | 18.62 | 22.63 | 23.03 |
| Free cash flow | 64,134 | 70,012 | 69,659 | 28,989 |
| Net debt | 2,210 | -3,224 | 76,479 | 103,996 |
| P/E | — | — | — | — |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 5.8% | rate 6.8% | rate 7.8% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 15.0% | 123.37 | 93.39 | 74.68 |
| Base · growth 20.0% | 164.03 | 123.53 | 98.31 |
| Bull · growth 25.0% | 216.32 | 162.22 | 128.55 |
FCF to shareholders 8,414 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 4,411 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.