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| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | — | — | — | — | 9,964 | 8,414 | 6,819 | 6,085 | 6,711 | 7,379 | 7,253 | 9,740 | 11,497 | 12,222 | 11,915 | 11,812 | 18,682 | 22,669 |
| Net income | -1,895 | 831 | 1,297 | 2,277 | 366 | 1,802 | -2,534 | 508 | 220 | -629 | -114 | 341 | 2,805 | 2,829 | 1,166 | -429 | -2,494 | 3,348 | 7,085 |
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27.4% | 25.4% | 38.2% | 53.2% |
| Operating margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.5% | 6.0% | 31.6% | 48.6% |
| Net margin | — | — | — | — | — | 18.1% | -30.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | -9.4% | -1.5% | 4.7% | 28.8% | 24.6% | 9.5% | -3.6% | -21.1% | 17.9% | 31.3% |
| EPS | — | 1.83 | 2.66 | 4.55 | 0.73 | 3.61 | -5.09 | 1.02 | 0.43 | -1.18 | -0.21 | 0.64 | 3.81 | 3.51 | 1.46 | -0.54 | -2.94 | 2.92 | 6.39 |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,089 | 97 | 2,961 | 7,299 |
| Net debt | — | 2,802 | 1,594 | 385 | 2,553 | 4,737 | 5,428 | 4,415 | 3,500 | 1,859 | 785 | 647 | 3,895 | 491 | 660 | 2,375 | 6,411 | 5,332 | -2,652 |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.7 | 13.3 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 6.6% | rate 7.6% | rate 8.6% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 9.5% | 127.07 | 101.01 | 83.57 |
| Base · growth 14.5% | 169.71 | 134.11 | 110.31 |
| Bull · growth 19.5% | 224.96 | 176.87 | 144.77 |
FCF to shareholders 3,452 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 1,039 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.