NEM · Verdict

A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.

• ▲ P/E 12.4 — cheap for this stock (over 6 y: from 11.4 to 54.1)
• ▲ P/E 12.4 vs peer median 15.0 — cheaper than peers
• ▼ P/S 4.2 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 2.3 to 4.9)
• ▲ EV/EBITDA 6.1 — cheap for this stock (over 4 y: from 6.4 to 128.8)
• ▲ EV/EBITDA 6.1 vs peer median 7.7 — cheaper than peers
• ▲ FCF yield 6.6% vs peer median 7.3% — cheaper than peers
• ▼ Cyclical company at peak earnings: P/E 12.4 is understated; on average earnings over 10 y it is 76.9
• ▲ Forward P/E 10.7 is below the current one — earnings growth expected

• ▼ Share count up 39% in 3 y — your stake is being diluted
• ▲ Piotroski 9/9 — strong financial health
• ▲ ROE 27% — high return on equity
• ▲ Net margin rose: -3.6% → 31.3%
• ▲ Debt / equity 0.17 — moderate debt
• ▲ Free cash flow positive every year

• ▲ Revenue grows 14.5% per year (5 y)
• ▲ Earnings per share grows 12.7% per year (5 y)
• ▼ Analysts cut the earnings forecast by -2.4% in 90 days

• ▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLB) by 7%
• ▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
• ▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
• ▲ Over a year +30% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market

• ▲ Risk/reward 1:3.4 — the target is farther than the stop
• ▼ Volatility 48% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
• ▼ Max drawdown in the period -65% — deep

• ▲ Consensus of 21 analysts — buy
• ▲ Mean analyst target +27% from the current price
• ▲ Insiders buying over 6 mo

• ▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
• ▲ Sector (XLB) above SMA200 — in an uptrend