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MPC
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
More arguments for
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🔴 Valuation
▼ P/E 15.4 — expensive for this stock (over 9 y: from 4.1 to 22.8)
▼ P/E 15.4 vs peer median 9.1 — more expensive than peers
▼ P/S 0.8 — expensive for this stock (over 8 y: from 0.3 to 0.4)
▼ P/S 0.8 vs peer median 0.6 — more expensive than peers
▼ EV/EBITDA 10.3 — expensive for this stock (over 9 y: from 3.1 to 6.9)
▼ EV/EBITDA 10.3 vs peer median 6.8 — more expensive than peers
▼ FCF yield 3.7% — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from -1.4% to 23.2%)
▼ FCF yield 3.7% vs peer median 10.0% — more expensive than peers
▲ Forward P/E 7.4 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟢 Quality
▲ Share count down 41% in 3 y — buybacks grow your stake
▲ Piotroski 7/9 — strong financial health
▲ ROE 42% — high return on equity
▼ Net margin fell: 8.2% → 3.0%
🟢 Growth
▲ Revenue grows 13.7% per year (5 y)
▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +70.1% in 90 days
🟢 Trend
▲ Over 6 mo stronger than its sector (XLE) by 62%
▲ Price above SMA200 — long-term uptrend
▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
▲ Over a year +127% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Earnings in 1 d — the price may move sharply (≈ ±11.5%)
▼ Volatility 36% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
▼ Max drawdown in the period -46% — deep
🟡 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 18 analysts — buy
▼ Insiders selling over 6 mo
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLE) above SMA200 — in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLE) over 3 mo is stronger than the market by 17%