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| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 149,004 | 106,848 | 102,502 | 105,828 |
| Net income | 28,746 | 11,885 | 8,806 | 5,043 |
| Gross margin | 59.6% | 45.0% | 41.6% | 36.2% |
| Operating margin | 52.2% | 33.0% | 29.6% | 23.4% |
| Net margin | 19.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| EPS | 9.03 | 3.93 | 3.11 | 1.94 |
| Free cash flow | 26,378 | 18,682 | 7,288 | 5,977 |
| Net debt | -7,147 | -5,499 | 8,857 | 11,887 |
| P/E | 4 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 12.2 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
⚠️ No or unusual beta — 1 used.
| rate 8.9% | rate 9.9% | rate 10.9% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -10.0% | 34.92 | 30.87 | 27.76 |
| Base · growth -5.0% | 46.63 | 40.85 | 36.41 |
| Bull · growth 0.0% | 62.18 | 54.01 | 47.78 |
FCF to shareholders 10,649 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 2,367 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.