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A probabilistic estimate from history and market opinion, not a guarantee and not investment advice.
| Pessimistic | Base | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock history (any 12 months) | 170.07 (-32.1%) | 364.18 (+45.4%) | 672.63 (+168.6%) |
| Volatility (8 of 10 cases) | 121.72 (-51.4%) | 250.43 (+0.0%) | 515.24 (+105.7%) |
| Analysts’ targets | 132 (-47.3%) | 247.25 (-1.3%) | 325 (+29.8%) |
History since 2019; now 250.43. The wider the range, the less predictable the stock.
Today’s state: above SMA200 · SMA50 > SMA200 · RSI neutral
| Horizon | Rose after this state | Rose at any time | Avg change | Cases | 95% | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 65.3% | 60.3% | 5.3% | 49 | 51%–77% | as usual |
| 3 months | 66.7% | 69.2% | 12.6% | 18 | 44%–84% | weak signal (few cases) |
| 1 year | 80.0% | 83.3% | 70.8% | 5 | 38%–96% | weak signal (few cases) |