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BTI
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
Mixed arguments
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🟡 Valuation
▲ P/E 16.1 vs peer median 29.0 — cheaper than peers
▲ P/S 3.8 vs peer median 6.3 — cheaper than peers
▼ FCF yield 5.7% vs peer median 4.5% — more expensive than peers
▼ Cyclical company at peak earnings: P/E 16.1 is understated; on average earnings over 4 y it is —
▲ Forward P/E 11.8 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟢 Quality
▲ Piotroski 7/9 — strong financial health
▲ Net margin rose: 24.1% → 30.3%
▲ Debt / equity 0.73 — moderate debt
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🔴 Growth
▼ Revenue falls -2.5% per year (3 y)
▼ Analysts cut the earnings forecast by -1.9% in 90 days
🟡 Trend
▲ Price above SMA200 — long-term uptrend
▼ SMA50 below SMA200 — trend down
▲ Over a year +20% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Risk/reward 1:0.7 — the target is closer than the stop
▼ Volatility 26% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
🟢 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 6 analysts — buy
▲ Mean analyst target +14% from the current price
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLP) above SMA200 — in an uptrend