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| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 241,392 | 210,130 | 189,185 | 189,335 |
| Net income | -2,487 | 15,239 | 381 | 55 |
| Gross margin | 22.8% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| Operating margin | 17.2% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% |
| Net margin | -1.0% | 7.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| EPS | -0.13 | 0.86 | 0.02 | 0 |
| Free cash flow | 28,863 | 17,754 | 12,000 | 11,272 |
| Net debt | 31,586 | 34,484 | 37,022 | 35,815 |
| P/E | — | 6.9 | 210.3 | 1,676.5 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
⚠️ No or unusual beta — 1 used.
| rate 8.9% | rate 9.9% | rate 10.9% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -10.0% | 6.87 | 6.07 | 5.46 |
| Base · growth -5.0% | 9.17 | 8.03 | 7.16 |
| Bull · growth 0.0% | 12.23 | 10.63 | 9.4 |
FCF to shareholders 13,675 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 15,454 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.