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AMAT
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
Mixed arguments
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🔴 Valuation
▼ P/E 33.7 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 10.9 to 26.9)
▲ P/E 33.7 vs peer median 37.6 — cheaper than peers
▼ P/S 10.0 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 2.0 to 6.6)
▼ EV/EBITDA 30.3 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 7.1 to 18.7)
▼ EV/EBITDA 30.3 vs peer median 26.6 — more expensive than peers
▼ FCF yield 1.8% — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 3.0% to 9.5%)
▼ FCF yield 1.8% vs peer median 1.4% — more expensive than peers
▲ Forward P/E 21.0 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟢 Quality
▲ Share count down 8% in 3 y — buybacks grow your stake
▲ ROE 41% — high return on equity
▲ Debt / equity 0.35 — moderate debt
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟢 Growth
▲ Revenue grows 10.5% per year (5 y)
▲ Earnings per share grows 17.2% per year (5 y)
▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +4.2% in 90 days
🟡 Trend
▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLK) by 14%
▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
▲ Over a year +68% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Earnings in 10 d — the price may move sharply (≈ ±10.6%)
▼ Volatility 61% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
▼ Max drawdown in the period -55% — deep
▼ Beta 1.59 — moves more than the market
🟡 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 37 analysts — buy
▲ Mean analyst target +61% from the current price
▼ Insiders selling over 6 mo
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLK) above SMA200 — in an uptrend