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| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,465 | 2,583 | 2,015 | 2,762 | 2,993 | 2,701 | 2,634 | 2,865 | 3,435 | 3,421 | 5,108 | 6,201 | 5,991 | 5,603 | 7,318 | 12,014 | 12,306 | 9,427 | 11,020 |
| Net income | — | — | 248 | 712 | 867 | 651 | 673 | 629 | 697 | 862 | 805 | 1,507 | 1,363 | 1,221 | 1,390 | 2,749 | 3,315 | 1,635 | 2,267 |
| Gross margin | 61.2% | 61.1% | 55.5% | 65.2% | 66.4% | 64.5% | 64.3% | 63.9% | 65.8% | 65.1% | 62.0% | 68.5% | 67.0% | 65.9% | 61.8% | 62.7% | 64.0% | 57.1% | 61.5% |
| Operating margin | 23.1% | 24.2% | 14.1% | 32.6% | 35.8% | 30.5% | 28.6% | 26.3% | 24.2% | 30.0% | 22.8% | 30.6% | 28.6% | 26.7% | 23.1% | 29.6% | 32.4% | 22.0% | 27.2% |
| Net margin | — | — | 12.3% | 25.8% | 29.0% | 24.1% | 25.6% | 22.0% | 20.3% | 25.2% | 15.8% | 24.3% | 22.8% | 21.8% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 26.9% | 17.3% | 20.6% |
| EPS | 1.5 | 2.65 | 0.85 | 2.33 | 2.81 | 2.13 | 2.14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 3.46 | 5.25 | 6.55 | 3.28 | 4.56 |
| Free cash flow | 679 | 512 | 376 | 880 | 778 | 682 | 789 | 694 | 754 | 1,164 | 950 | 2,187 | 1,978 | 1,843 | 2,391 | 3,776 | 3,556 | 3,122 | 4,279 |
| Net debt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -510 | — | — | -750 | — | — | -1,461 | 5,132 | 6,055 | 5,287 | 5,012 |
| P/E | 21.9 | 8.1 | 30.2 | 14.5 | 13.4 | 18.7 | 23.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36.1 | 50.1 | 27.2 | 24 | 68 | 51.3 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 10.1% | rate 11.1% | rate 12.1% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 9.5% | 149.39 | 130.83 | 116.2 |
| Base · growth 14.5% | 195.57 | 170.37 | 150.54 |
| Bull · growth 19.5% | 254.84 | 220.96 | 194.36 |
FCF to shareholders 3,652 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 485 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.