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T
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
Mixed arguments
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🟢 Valuation
▲ P/S 1.1 — cheap for this stock (over 10 y: from 1.0 to 1.6)
▲ P/S 1.1 vs peer median 1.5 — cheaper than peers
▲ FCF yield 13.5% — cheap for this stock (over 6 y: from 6.4% to 16.8%)
▼ FCF yield 13.5% vs peer median 9.9% — more expensive than peers
▲ Forward P/E 8.2 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟡 Quality
▼ Altman Z in the bankruptcy-risk zone
▲ Net margin rose: -7.1% → 17.5%
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟡 Growth
▼ Revenue falls -2.6% per year (5 y)
▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +2.7% in 90 days
🔴 Trend
▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
▼ SMA50 below SMA200 — trend down
▼ Over a year -13% vs S&P 500 +11% — weaker than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Volatility 29% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
🟢 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 23 analysts — buy
▲ Mean analyst target +29% from the current price
🔴 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▼ Sector (XLC) below SMA200 — in a downtrend
▼ Sector (XLC) over 3 mo is weaker than the market by 8%