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| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 118,928 | 123,443 | 122,513 | 124,280 | 126,723 | 127,434 | 128,752 | 132,447 | 146,801 | 163,786 | 160,546 | 170,756 | 181,193 | 143,050 | 134,038 | 120,741 | 122,428 | 122,336 | 125,648 |
| Net income | 11,951 | -2,625 | 12,138 | 19,864 | 3,944 | 7,264 | 18,418 | 6,442 | 13,345 | 12,976 | 29,450 | 19,370 | 13,903 | -5,176 | 20,081 | -8,524 | 14,400 | 10,948 | 21,953 |
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57.9% | 59.1% | 59.8% | 59.6% |
| Operating margin | 17.2% | -1.4% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 23.9% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 19.9% |
| Net margin | 10.0% | -2.1% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 14.3% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 18.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | -3.6% | 15.0% | -7.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 17.5% |
| EPS | 1.47 | -0.33 | 1.55 | 2.53 | 0.5 | 0.94 | 2.58 | 0.94 | 1.79 | 1.59 | 3.6 | 2.15 | 1.43 | -0.75 | 2.73 | -1.13 | 1.97 | 1.49 | 3.04 |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | — | 14,633 | 19,711 | 13,852 | 10,139 | 16,662 | 16,926 | 17,363 | — | — | — | — | 12,397 | 20,461 | 18,508 | 19,442 |
| Net debt | — | 73,264 | 68,771 | 64,939 | 61,708 | -1,382 | 2,179 | -2,547 | 2,515 | 4,044 | -12,124 | 8,099 | 163,245 | 150,755 | 179,459 | 150,978 | 148,177 | 137,625 | 136,809 |
| P/E | 21.4 | — | 13.7 | 8.8 | 45.8 | 27 | 10.3 | 27.1 | 14.5 | 20.3 | 8.2 | 10 | 20.7 | — | 6.8 | — | 8.5 | 15.3 | 8.2 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 6.1% | rate 7.1% | rate 8.1% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -7.6% | 43.29 | 34.65 | 29.05 |
| Base · growth -2.6% | 59.45 | 47.07 | 39.06 |
| Bull · growth 2.4% | 81.11 | 63.63 | 52.35 |
FCF to shareholders 19,470 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 6,736 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.