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| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 40,561 | 41,618 | 44,286 | 46,716 |
| Net income | 8,371 | 5,400 | 5,560 | 7,813 |
| Gross margin | 70.7% | 69.7% | 70.2% | 72.1% |
| Operating margin | 26.9% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 20.5% |
| Net margin | 20.6% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 16.7% |
| EPS | 2.69 | 2.16 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Free cash flow | 8,423 | 7,352 | 5,886 | 7,212 |
| Net debt | 7,813 | 9,442 | 9,979 | 11,862 |
| P/E | — | — | — | — |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 5.3% | rate 6.3% | rate 7.3% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -0.2% | 97.43 | 72.37 | 57.67 |
| Base · growth 4.8% | 133.41 | 98.23 | 77.62 |
| Bull · growth 9.8% | 181.06 | 132.35 | 103.85 |
FCF to shareholders 7,646 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 2,396 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.