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SMFG
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
More arguments against
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🔴 Valuation
▼ P/S 5.1 vs peer median 3.9 — more expensive than peers
🔴 Quality
▲ Net margin rose: 21.7% → 27.3%
▼ Debt / equity 2.06 — heavy debt load
▼ Free cash flow often negative
🟡 Growth
▲ Revenue grows 15.9% per year (3 y)
▲ Earnings per share grows 11.0% per year (3 y)
▼ Analysts cut the earnings forecast by -47.0% in 90 days
🟢 Trend
▲ Over 6 mo stronger than its sector (XLF) by 6%
▲ Price above SMA200 — long-term uptrend
▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
▲ Over a year +49% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Earnings in 11 d — the price may move sharply (≈ ±6.6%)
▼ Risk/reward 1:0.7 — the target is closer than the stop
▼ Volatility 29% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
🔴 Sentiment
▼ Mean analyst target -35% from the current price
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLF) above SMA200 — in an uptrend