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| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 55,554 | 54,041 | 53,658 | 57,638 |
| Net income | 12,392 | 10,058 | 11,552 | 9,966 |
| Gross margin | 61.7% | 60.0% | 56.4% | 57.4% |
| Operating margin | 34.9% | 29.1% | 27.6% | 26.8% |
| Net margin | 22.3% | 18.6% | 21.5% | 17.3% |
| EPS | 7.62 | 6.17 | 7.07 | 6.08 |
| Free cash flow | 9,384 | 8,074 | 5,978 | 4,497 |
| Net debt | 4,331 | 4,576 | 6,655 | 16,065 |
| P/E | 9.2 | 12.1 | 8.2 | 13 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 7.2% | rate 8.2% | rate 9.2% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -3.8% | 56.49 | 47.15 | 40.56 |
| Base · growth 1.2% | 76.41 | 63.2 | 53.91 |
| Bull · growth 6.2% | 102.76 | 84.35 | 71.44 |
FCF to shareholders 6,183 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 1,626 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.