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A probabilistic estimate from history and market opinion, not a guarantee and not investment advice.
| Pessimistic | Base | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock history (any 12 months) | 44.3 (-43.6%) | 98.14 (+24.8%) | 223.25 (+184.0%) |
| Volatility (8 of 10 cases) | 51.35 (-34.7%) | 78.61 (+0.0%) | 120.35 (+53.1%) |
| Analysts’ targets | 85.88 (+9.2%) | 115.21 (+46.6%) | 151.51 (+92.7%) |
History since 2018; now 78.61. The wider the range, the less predictable the stock.
Today’s state: below SMA200 · SMA50 < SMA200 · RSI neutral
| Horizon | Rose after this state | Rose at any time | Avg change | Cases | 95% | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 48.8% | 49.4% | 2.1% | 41 | 34%–64% | as usual |
| 3 months | 53.3% | 58.6% | 5.8% | 15 | 30%–75% | weak signal (few cases) |
| 1 year | 80.0% | 57.1% | 59.2% | 5 | 38%–96% | weak signal (few cases) |