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A probabilistic estimate from history and market opinion, not a guarantee and not investment advice.
| Pessimistic | Base | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volatility (8 of 10 cases) | 8.42 (-31.4%) | 12.27 (+0.0%) | 17.88 (+45.7%) |
History since 2025; now 12.27. The wider the range, the less predictable the stock.
Today’s state: above SMA200 · SMA50 > SMA200 · RSI neutral
| Horizon | Rose after this state | Rose at any time | Avg change | Cases | 95% | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 60.0% | 71.4% | 1.1% | 5 | 23%–88% | weak signal (few cases) |
| 3 months | 100.0% | 100.0% | 4.0% | 2 | 34%–100% | weak signal (few cases) |
| 1 year | — | — | — | 0 | — | weak signal (few cases) |