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| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,076,584 | 1,706,460 | 2,337,628 |
| Net income | -243,728 | 272,315 | 554,490 |
| Gross margin | -12.0% | 33.4% | 43.3% |
| Operating margin | -23.5% | 26.5% | 37.2% |
| Net margin | -22.6% | 16.0% | 23.7% |
| EPS | -156.99 | 171.82 | 336.38 |
| Free cash flow | -109,986 | 250,813 | 332,866 |
| Net debt | 699,947 | 827,618 | 775,291 |
| P/E | — | — | — |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
⚠️ No or unusual beta — 1 used.
| rate 8.9% | rate 9.9% | rate 10.9% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 15.0% | 20.04 | 17.08 | 14.84 |
| Base · growth 20.0% | 26.25 | 22.26 | 19.25 |
| Bull · growth 25.0% | 34.17 | 28.86 | 24.85 |
FCF to shareholders 1,000 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 1,598 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.