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| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 28,857 | 31,944 | 30,990 | 35,119 | 46,542 | 48,017 | 46,854 | 45,998 | 44,294 | 41,863 | 36,212 | 34,300 | 37,266 | 33,014 | 38,655 | 43,004 | 45,754 | 47,061 | 47,941 |
| Net income | 5,981 | 5,807 | 6,824 | 11,787 | 8,584 | 9,019 | 8,584 | 7,098 | 7,351 | 6,527 | 1,248 | 6,434 | 8,920 | 7,747 | 9,771 | 9,542 | 10,714 | 10,631 | 13,107 |
| Gross margin | 63.9% | 64.4% | 64.2% | 63.9% | 60.9% | 60.3% | 60.7% | 61.1% | 60.5% | 60.7% | 62.1% | 61.9% | 60.8% | 59.3% | 60.3% | 58.1% | 59.5% | 61.1% | 61.6% |
| Operating margin | 25.1% | 26.4% | 26.6% | 24.0% | 21.9% | 22.4% | 21.8% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 26.7% | 27.1% | 27.3% | 26.7% | 28.0% | 28.6% | 29.8% | 31.1% |
| Net margin | 20.7% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 33.6% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 3.4% | 18.8% | 23.9% | 23.5% | 25.3% | 22.2% | 23.4% | 22.6% | 27.3% |
| EPS | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.47 | 2.53 | 1.85 | 1.97 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.67 | 1.49 | 0.29 | 1.5 | 2.07 | 1.79 | 2.25 | 2.19 | 2.47 | 2.46 | 3.04 |
| Free cash flow | 5,502 | 5,603 | 6,193 | 7,317 | 6,554 | 7,865 | 7,992 | 8,209 | 7,975 | 6,530 | 5,291 | 6,079 | 8,417 | 8,667 | 11,258 | 9,534 | 9,747 | 4,741 | 5,296 |
| Net debt | — | -1,455 | 2,281 | 11,653 | 13,941 | 19,058 | 19,910 | 23,615 | 28,391 | 27,391 | 32,053 | 32,340 | 34,816 | 34,227 | 31,835 | 27,518 | 28,401 | 29,951 | 29,686 |
| P/E | 23.9 | 18.2 | 19.5 | 13 | 18.9 | 18.4 | 21.7 | 26.4 | 25.7 | 27.8 | 158.2 | 31.6 | 26.7 | 30.6 | 26.3 | 29 | 23.9 | 25.3 | 23 |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 5.5% | rate 6.5% | rate 7.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth 2.7% | 52.85 | 39.69 | 31.77 |
| Base · growth 7.7% | 71.89 | 53.56 | 42.55 |
| Bull · growth 12.7% | 96.95 | 71.75 | 56.65 |
FCF to shareholders 6,595 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 4,302 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.