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| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 29,324 | 30,328 | 31,376 | 32,667 |
| Net income | 14,956 | 4,928 | 2,575 | 5,716 |
| Gross margin | 67.4% | 71.8% | 71.2% | 72.4% |
| Operating margin | 22.9% | 24.2% | 17.7% | 25.5% |
| Net margin | 51.0% | 16.2% | 8.2% | 17.5% |
| EPS | 3.66 | 1.2 | 0.62 | 1.39 |
| Free cash flow | 5,145 | 4,424 | 3,572 | 4,756 |
| Net debt | 13,310 | 13,026 | 13,272 | 14,561 |
| P/E | — | — | — | — |
A what-if tool for a 5–10 year investor, not an answer: change the assumptions and see what they do.
| rate 5.3% | rate 6.3% | rate 7.3% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear · growth -1.3% | 40.49 | 30.13 | 24.05 |
| Base · growth 3.7% | 55.55 | 40.96 | 32.42 |
| Bull · growth 8.7% | 75.56 | 55.29 | 43.44 |
FCF to shareholders 5,712 mln USD (operating cash flow − capex, after interest), shares 4,007 mln. Discounted at the shareholder rate, so debt is not subtracted again (assumes stable debt). 5 years of growth, 5 of slowdown, then perpetual growth. Sensitive to assumptions — see the table.