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ARM
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
Mixed arguments
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🔴 Valuation
▼ P/S 42.7 vs peer median 16.9 — more expensive than peers
▼ FCF yield 0.4% vs peer median 0.8% — more expensive than peers
▲ Forward P/E 67.2 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟡 Quality
▼ Debt up 107% in 3 y
▲ Piotroski 6/8 — strong financial health
▼ Net margin fell: 19.6% → 18.4%
▲ Debt / equity 0.06 — moderate debt
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟢 Growth
▲ Revenue grows 22.5% per year (3 y)
▲ Earnings per share grows 18.5% per year (3 y)
🟡 Trend
▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLK) by 15%
▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
▲ Over a year +24% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Earnings in 2 d — the price may move sharply (≈ ±12.4%)
▼ Risk/reward 1:0.6 — the target is closer than the stop
▼ Volatility 80% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
▼ Max drawdown in the period -54% — deep
▼ Beta 3.79 — moves more than the market
▼ 12% of float is short — many bet on a decline
🟢 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 40 analysts — buy
▲ Mean analyst target +41% from the current price
▲ Insiders buying over 6 mo
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLK) above SMA200 — in an uptrend