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AMD
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AMD
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
More arguments for
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🔴 Valuation
▼ P/E 128.8 — expensive for this stock (over 8 y: from 44.6 to 278.1)
▼ P/S 20.0 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 1.9 to 11.4)
▼ P/S 20.0 vs peer median 16.3 — more expensive than peers
▼ EV/EBITDA 85.3 — expensive for this stock (over 9 y: from 17.8 to 69.1)
▼ EV/EBITDA 85.3 vs peer median 30.5 — more expensive than peers
▼ FCF yield 0.8% vs peer median 2.0% — more expensive than peers
▼ Cyclical company at peak earnings: P/E 128.8 is understated; on average earnings over 10 y it is 523.7
▲ Forward P/E 31.7 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟢 Quality
▲ Piotroski 7/9 — strong financial health
▲ Net margin rose: 5.6% → 12.5%
▲ Debt / equity 0.06 — moderate debt
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟢 Growth
▲ Revenue grows 28.8% per year (5 y)
▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +2.5% in 90 days
🟢 Trend
▲ Over 6 mo stronger than its sector (XLK) by 30%
▲ Price above SMA200 — long-term uptrend
▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
▲ Over a year +98% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Earnings in 1 d — the price may move sharply (≈ ±8.9%)
▼ Volatility 69% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
▼ Max drawdown in the period -65% — deep
▼ Beta 2.45 — moves more than the market
🟢 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 49 analysts — buy
▲ Mean analyst target +28% from the current price
▲ Insiders buying over 6 mo
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLK) above SMA200 — in an uptrend