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LVMUY
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
More arguments against
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🔴 Valuation
▼ P/E 16.8 vs peer median 14.3 — more expensive than peers
▼ FCF yield 7.5% vs peer median 9.4% — more expensive than peers
🟢 Quality
▲ ROE 17% — high return on equity
▼ Net margin fell: 17.8% → 13.5%
▲ Debt / equity 0.54 — moderate debt
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🔴 Growth
▼ Earnings per share falls -8.0% per year (3 y)
▼ Analysts cut the earnings forecast by -2.5% in 90 days
🔴 Trend
▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLY) by 16%
▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
▼ SMA50 below SMA200 — trend down
▼ Over a year -39% vs S&P 500 +11% — weaker than the market
🔴 Risk
· context, does not vote
▼ Risk/reward 1:0.8 — the target is closer than the stop
▼ Volatility 30% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
▼ Max drawdown in the period -58% — deep
🟢 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 3 analysts — buy
▲ Mean analyst target +24% from the current price
🟡 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▼ Sector (XLY) below SMA200 — in a downtrend