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JNJ
· Verdict
Style:
Investor
·
Swing trader
Mixed arguments
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🔴 Valuation
▼ P/E 41.5 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 11.4 to 297.3)
▼ P/S 6.6 — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 4.0 to 5.9)
▼ EV/EBITDA 19.9 — expensive for this stock (over 5 y: from 12.9 to 18.3)
▲ EV/EBITDA 19.9 vs peer median 22.3 — cheaper than peers
▼ FCF yield 2.9% — expensive for this stock (over 10 y: from 3.7% to 5.3%)
▼ FCF yield 2.9% vs peer median 3.4% — more expensive than peers
▲ Forward P/E 23.5 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟡 Quality
▼ Debt up 63% in 3 y
▲ Has raised its dividend 53 years in a row
▼ Piotroski 3/9 — weak financial health
▲ ROE 20% — high return on equity
▼ Net margin fell: 41.3% → 28.5%
▲ Debt / equity 0.59 — moderate debt
▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟡 Growth
▲ Earnings per share grows 14.9% per year (5 y)
▼ Analysts cut the earnings forecast by -4.8% in 90 days
🟢 Trend
▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLV) by 8%
▲ Price above SMA200 — long-term uptrend
▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
▲ Over a year +45% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🟢 Risk
· context, does not vote
▲ Risk/reward 1:4.4 — the target is farther than the stop
▲ Max drawdown in the period -24% — shallow
🟡 Sentiment
▲ Consensus of 22 analysts — buy
▼ Insiders selling over 6 mo
🟢 Market
· context, does not vote
▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLV) above SMA200 — in an uptrend
▲ Sector (XLV) over 3 mo is stronger than the market by 11%